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Posted: 4 March 2011 - 0 comment(s) [ Comment ] - 0 trackback(s) [ Trackback ]

I can find a pure chart quite frustrating. My logical side wants to know more - I battle with the "its only the price you need to know, stupid" approach.

 

So now, I am a happier camper, and you can see why:-

 

Take Sasol - I found a fair value of 340 a few weeks ago (see Sasol Valuation)

 

yet here is the price - leaving me in the dust:-

 

alt

 

To see what else may be of influence, I can add an overlay of the share's eps (with a constant multiple, of my own choosing)

 

alt

 

OK, so it seems that the eps is predicted a year ahead by the price, and maybe there is something else in the mix. So I add an oil price. Oil in rands, not dollars.

 

And look now:-

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So I now see an elaborate option on the rand oil price! 

 

See also Carbon tax impact 

 

And for more on the charting tool, visit Share Magic Group

 

Cheers

Stuart


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